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  • 作者:隔壁老宋小说
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最新章节:第一千四百六十八章 独上周家!(2018-01-12 07:08:24) 本文来源:http://www.fjmpg.com/a/www.guiping.hbrc.com/

北京赛车pk10开奖记录官网www.fjmpg.com,USPresident-electDonaldTrumppausesashetalkstomembersofthemediaatMar-a-LagoestateinPalmBeach,Florida,US,December21,2016.[Photo/Agencies]DonaldTrumpsaidhelikestobeunpredictable.Indeed,hehasbeensuccessfulinconfusingenemies,alliesandpartnersalike.HesaidChinahasstolenAmericanjobsandthreatenedtoslapa45percentimporttariffonChinesegoods.ButaChinesespokesmanhasalreadymadeitclearthatiftheone-Chinaprincipleisnotupheld,thedevelopmentofChina-USrelationsandbilateralcooperationinimportantareasisoutofthequestion.TodayChina'seconomyalreadyaccountsfor63percentofthatoftheUnitedStates.ShouldTrumpinitiateatradewarbetweenthetwolargesteconomiesintheworld,Chinawon'tbetheonlyloser.However,therearethingsthatcouldputChinaandtheUSonacollisioncourse.Thefearisthatincidents,suchasaChineseJ-8fighter'scollisionwithaUSEP-3in2001orthestandoffbetweentheUSNSImpeccableandtheUSSCowpenswithChinesevesselsin2009and2013,andthedeadlycloseencounterbetweenaChineseJ-11BfighterwithaUSNP-8Poseidonin2014,couldseethetwogiants"sleepwalking"intoawar.AnincidentbetweenChinaandJapanaroundthedisputedislandsintheEastChinaSeaorintheiroverlappingAirDefenseIdentificationZonescouldalsoleadtoaconflictthatinvolvestheUSasJapan'sally.Whetheritacknowledgesitornot,theUSisdeclining-otherwiseTrumpwouldnotneedtodeclarehewantsto"makeAmericagreatagain".And,likeitornot,Chinaisstillrising,althoughitseconomyhasslowed.ThefirstChineseaircraftcarrierhasbecomeoperationalandasecondoneisintheworks.TheUSneedstodosomesoul-searchingonasimplequestion:HowmanymilitarysecretsdoesChinahavethatjustifiestheUS'dailyintelligencesurveillanceandreconnaissancethathaslastedfordecades.ThisistherootcauseoftheincidentswhichoccurinChina'sexclusiveeconomiczonesorintheSouthChinaSea.Inotherwords,ifthereisnoUSintelligencesurveillanceandreconnaissance,therewillnotbeanincident.True,thetwocountrieshavesignedTheRulesofBehaviorforSafetyofMaritimeandAirEncounterbetweenChinaandtheUS-amilestoneinconfidencebuildingandavoidingacrisis,andpledgedtodomoreexercisestofamiliarizethemselveswithgoodseamanshipandairmanship.ButifastrongerChinabelievesthattheUS'intelligencesurveillanceandreconnaissanceactivitiesinChina'sexclusiveeconomiczonesareahostileactivitythatitneedstocounter,thereistheriskofanotherincident.AhealthyChina-USrelationshipcanonlybemanagedthroughdynamicleadership,firminstitutionsandstrongconfidencebuildingmeasures.Aheadofstateshouldbeaccountableand,inaway,bepredictable.Unpredictabilityisadangeroushattowear.Itonlyaddsuncertaintyandbreedsmiscalculations.ItremainstobeseeniftheUSwillcontinueits"freedomofnavigation"operationsintheSouthChinaSeaundertheTrumpadministration.ThankstoaU-turnintherelationshipbetweenChinaandthePhilippineslargelyspearheadedbyPresidentRodrigoDuterte,thetensionsintheSouthChinaSeahavecalmeddown.AnyfurtherUSintrusionintothewatersofChina-controlledislandsorreefswillonlyshowtheUStobethetroublemaker.Likeitornot,theworldhastodealwithaTrumpasUSpresident.Butbeingunpredictablewon'tbehissecretweapon.ItwillbehisAchilles'heel.TheauthorisanhonoraryfellowwithCenterofChina-AmericanDefenseRelationsatthePLAAcademyofMilitarySciences.Wearebombardedwithimageseverywakingminuteoftheday,andyetmanyofthosewhotrytomakealivingbringingussuchimagesarehavingatoughtimeTwoandahalfmillenniaafterConfuciussaidthat"Oneseeingisworthahundredhearings"somebrightsparkintheEnglish-speakingtookapageoutofthegreatsage'sbookandcameupwith"Apictureisworthathousandwords".IntheWestthatgavebirthtoanindustrylastcenturythatemploysmillionsofpeoplewhoprovideillustrationsforbooks,catalogues,advertisingandothermedia.AndyetsomewherealongthewayinChinatheoldmessageseemstohavebeenoverlookedbymany,andonlyinrecentyearshastheprintedpicturebeguntoimposeitselfasamediumparexcellenceforgettingacrossmessagesinmanydifferentareas.OneofthosewhoisawareofhowfarChinahaslaggedbutisnowseeingitmakingstridestocatchupisZhangYunbao,29,achildren'spicturebookeditorforBeijingPoplarCultureProjectCoLtd.Inherfreetimeshedrawscommercialillustrationsandmakesherownpicturebooks.Zhanghasworkedinthefieldforfiveyearsandsaysthatshehasrealizedthatinthepasttwoyearsthedemandforbothcommercialillustrationsandchildren'spicturebookshasbeguntotakeoff,"whichholdstheprospectofamuchbiggermarketincomingyears",shesays."Youcanseethatillustrationsareincreasinglywantedbyonlineshops,clothingbrands,cellphonebrands,andboothsinshoppingmalls."Overeachofthepast10yearssalesofchildren'spicturebookshavegrownbyanaverageof10to12percentinChina,saysHouMingliang,founderofIlluSalon,anorganizationfoundedinBeijingin2014promotetheuseofillustrationsinChinaandaimstobringtogetherillustratorsandthosewhouseillustrationswherevertheyare.Houhasworkedinthechildren'sbookpublishingindustryforeightyears.

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